We need to see evidence that the student can bring something to a high level of skill,” Hiss said.
According to the data, if high school grades are not high, good testing does not promise college success.
According to Hiss’ data, the test-optional policy could even help to level the playing field.
“We need thousands of students going through higher ed.
Just like a quarter, there is a 50/50 chance, but the heads could still come up 9 out of 10 times.
Eventually, a pattern would develop, but any pattern can come to fruition.
Students with good grades and modest testing did better in college than students with higher testing and lower high school grades.
“The human mind is simply so complex and so multifaceted and fluid, that trying to find a single measurement tool that will be reliable across the enormous populations of American students is simply a trip up a blind alley.
In the newest edition of this frequently cited book, the authors continue their practice of organizing, explaining, and illustrating the law of evidence clearly, simply, and practically.
Even though there was a more than likely probability, it is still not for sure.